Thursday, April 14, 2005

 

New Senior Hire at Aladdin (P&I Daily 4/14/05)

Isaac Efrat joined Aladdin Capital Management as senior managing director, said Michael Carroll, director of sales and marketing services. It is a new position. Mr. Efrat rounds out a group of seven senior managing directors. Mr. Efrat was managing director at Moody's Investor Service and worked with the derivatives group; he left the firm in October 2002, and the company did not directly fill his position, said Lisa Tibbitts, Moody's spokeswoman. Aladdin Capital has about $4 billion in assets under management.

Thursday, March 17, 2005

 

Useful Survey

American Banker: The Financial Services Daily
In Brief: State St.: Institutions Eying Hedge Funds
Thursday, March 17, 2005

State Street Corp. says a hedge fund survey it did shows most institutional investors intend to add to their hedge fund holdings in the next three years as they strive for better risk-adjusted returns and broader diversification.

The survey was conducted late last year and released Wednesday, the Boston banking company said. Global corporate, public, and government pension plans and endowments and foundations with combined investable assets of more than $1.2 trillion responded.

The institutions differed greatly on the preferred way to invest in this asset class.

The survey findings "support the trend that we have seen in which new entrants to the asset class choose the fund of funds approach, while those with more experience in this asset class continue to favor direct investing," Gary Enos, an executive vice president and head of alternative investment services at State Street, said in a press release.

One-third of institutional investors responding to the survey had at least 10% of their portfolios invested in hedge funds, the survey found, and half intended to have 10% or more invested in alternative strategies by 2007. About 16% said they were not invested in hedge funds, but all planned to make some allocation to the asset class by 2007. The largest increase was foreseen by public and government pension plans.

State Street provides servicing and management solutions for alternative investments like record keeping, fund accounting, valuation, risk management, and regulatory reporting. In 2002, it bought International Fund Services - a provider of fund accounting and administration as well as trade support and middle-office services for alternative investment portfolios - and today services more than $100 billion of alternative investment assets. State Street Global Advisors, the company's investment management arm, also supplies institutional investors an array of hedge fund and fund-of-funds strategies.

Monday, March 14, 2005

 

Greenwich Associates Survey (II Hedge Fund Daily 3/14/05)

Pensions, Endowments Push HF Allocations
The number of pension funds and endowments allocating money to hedge funds has nearly doubled since 2001, according to Greenwich Associates. A survey of 1,700 institutional investors found that 28% of those polled include hedge funds in their portfolios, compared with 15% in 2001. While more of those institutions are adding hedge funds, the percentage of allocations has inched up slightly, from 1.3% in 2003 to 1.6% last year.

Sunday, February 27, 2005

 

Barron's on Endowments HF Allocations

Barron's 2/28/05
One-Stop Shopping
Lawrence C. Strauss

Smart Moves?

U.S. educational endowments allocated on average about one-third of their portfolios to alternative assets, including hedge funds, in the 2003-2004 fiscal year, a survey shows. That was about in line with 2002 levels, and a big jump from 2000, when the dollar-weighted allocation to those strategies averaged 24%.

Those were among the findings in a recent survey conducted by the Commonfund Institute, which advises endowments on investing and also runs many internal funds of funds for those investors. The survey polled 707 endowments, including Harvard and Yale.

The endowment community was an earlier entrant to the hedge-fund world, in many cases ahead of pension funds.

In terms of alternative strategies, about half the allocations (48%) went into hedge funds, compared with 14% for private-equity funds and 11% for private equity real- estate funds. Smaller endowments tended to invest more heavily in hedge funds than larger endowments -- largely because hedge funds, their lockup periods notwithstanding, are generally more liquid than private-equity or venture-capital funds.

The most popular hedge-fund category among these endowments was multi-strategy, including funds of funds and single-manager funds that invest in several strategies.

John S. Griswold, executive director of the Commonfund Institute in Wilton, Conn., says hedge funds have "been a positive" for endowments, "but there are increasing concerns." Those include excessive expectations for hedge-fund performance. "Fifteen to 20% returns is probably unrealistic," Griswold says. "Return expectations ought to be tempered." And he cautions that endowments, especially smaller ones with fewer investment staffers, will have to pay more attention to assessing the performance and operations of hedge funds in which they've invested.

Wednesday, February 16, 2005

 

David Mullins on Why NOT to Use FOFs (MARHedge)

Vega's David Mullins bullish on hedge funds

Feb-15-2005 - Stalling performance in US stocks and bonds will create opportunities for hedge funds, said Vega Group's chief economist and former Federal Reserve Board vice chairman David Mullins in his keynote address at MARHedge's 10th Annual European Conference on Hedge Fund Investments.

The conference, which runs through Wednesday in Geneva, will also feature a keynote address by Peter Bennett, senior investment partner at Gottex Fund Management Ltd.

Mullins, whose 30 years in financial services includes the co-founding of Long-Term Capital Management and a professorship at the Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration, sought to explain the growing interest of institutional investors in the hedge fund sector.

Looking at bond returns for the last 40 years, Mullins drew attention to the "dramatic swings" caused by increasing inflation in the 1960s and 1970s followed by decreasing inflation through the 1980s, and particularly the Alan Greenspan-managed 1990s.

Rates have been "squeezed down about as far as they can go," he said, and with short rates almost certain to go up, perhaps by 1% this year, the five-year annualized return on US Treasuries will be pegged at about 3.8%. "If you want more than 4%, you won't see it in bonds," said Mullins.

On the other hand, "The bull is back in stocks, led by NASDAQ. Can 5,000 be far away," he asked, "and does this mean it's time to get back on the stocks bandwagon?"

Mullins's view: probably not. The lion's share of the S&P 500 Index's 17% growth of the past two decades has been P/E growth, and P/E ratios are historically high, driven by productivity growth and low interest rates.

"Where can we go from here?" he asked. "It's hard to see. Stocks can only go higher if interest rates come down or productivity increases - and neither of those scenarios is likely."

Mullins doesn't hold out much hope for a shot in the arm from US policy. Making President Bush's tax cuts permanent may be possible, he conceded, but containing the budget deficit will remain difficult as long as the War on Terror continues, and pay-as-you-go reforms are "small proposals and not, to me, very impressive."

Headline-grabbing reforms planned for the US Social Security System could release a "staggering" flow of assets into the stock market, Mullins said, providing "a similar impetus to that which drove the stock market gains of the 1990s, and give another decade or so of good returns." But that depends on Congress, and Mullins doubts that Bush "is really politically good enough to get it through."

He cited an adage in Washington: "When all is said and done, more will have been said than done." Utimately, Mullins puts projected annualized stock market returns at around 6-9%.

Against this bearish view of traditional asset classes, Mullins observed that institutional investors were increasingly accepting that the only alternative is alternatives - particularly hedge funds. "Private equity and venture capital are highly correlated, because essentially they involve buying businesses," he said.

By contrast, he claimed that market neutral strategies offer a beta of 0.25 to both stocks and bonds, and even global macro exhibits a beta of just 0.45 to the S&P and 0.15 to the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index.

It's no surprise, he said, that high-net-worth individuals, endowments and foundations have led the way in allocating large percentages of their portfolios to hedge funds. "Here's the big story, though: Pension funds have finally focused intently on hedge funds."

With $50 trillion of assets under management in institutions, should current allocations of 1% be increased just to 3%, "that would double the size of the hedge fund industry," Mullins observed. "That's going to be interesting."

What's the best way to allocate those assets? "Most people think that you make money in hedge funds by selecting a great manager," said Mullins. "But that's not necessary, and besides, it's becoming increasingly difficult to pick winners, whereas in the past the wind was at our backs."

It also does not take into account the importance of asset allocation in highly cyclical strategies. "If you take just 5% from the bottom three of the seven alternatives I've listed - venture capital, mezzanine, buyout, equity long/short, event-driven, convertible arbitrage, fixed income arbitrage - and reallocate that to the top three, that will add 420 basis points to your annual return."

That is not to say that manager selection is unimportant. In fact, Mullins argued, it is demonstrably more important in hedge funds than in equity mutual, US buyout or US venture capital funds. "If you could only pick the middle of the second quartile of [hedge fund] managers as opposed to the average, that in itself would add 550 basis points per year to your return."

For Mullins, the best way for institutions to get exposure is not through the traditional fund-of-funds route, which he sees as adding diversification but not value. He takes the long view: "Why not simply build a portfolio of the large, best-known brand names that have survived the shocks? Institutions aren't really looking for huge returns; they want durable returns."

Mullins did not understate the problems presented by the hedge fund market. It's a fragmented and sometimes opaque industry, often with severe liquidity constraints, and multidimensional risk factors that require highly specialized skills and knowledge.

He pointed to "clouds on the horizon" such as the effects potential asset inflows may have on performance, and tightening spreads.

But ultimately he was bullish on the development of the opportunity set for hedge funds and their growing investor base, and confident that the basic structures and methodologies of the asset class will continue to ensure low correlation to stocks and bonds as the industry expands.

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